Forex trading market


The Most Traded Forex pairs

pares1 The Most Traded Forex pairsAs  you know, the Forex currency market is based on the buying and selling of currencies of certain countries. It is based on the exchange rate; This means the purchase of one currency in exchange for the sale of another one, simultaneously. For that reason the currency market is always traded in pairs. Before operating in the foreign exchange market, it is important that you start to understand the basic terminology of the market and know how to interpret correctly the currency market quotations.

What are pairs?

pares2 The Most Traded Forex pairsThe Forex market trades by buying and selling currencies from different countries. A pair is the combination of two different currencies that are used to take a positions on the market. Usually the first currency is known as the base currency, as this is not moving and the second currency that will comply with the pair, is called counter currency. The base currency is also known as primary and base coin currency as currency trading. The base currency will always be = 1 and the value will vary depending on the pair base coin you choose and the value this has in the international market.

It is important that you know what are the main currencies traded in the Forex market and its acronym in English, since at the time of operation usually only use the acronym. Later we will tell you what the most used pairs are:

• AUD = Australian Dollar
• CAD = Canadian Dollar
• JPY = Japanese Yen
• EUR = Euro
• GBP = Great British Pond
• USD = U.S. Dollar
• CHF = Swiss Franc
• NZD = New Zealand Dollar

Following is an overview o some important things to know about the most traded currencies in the market:

• The U.S. Dollar: USD

pares3 The Most Traded Forex pairsCurrently, there are other major currencies to the dollar, as the Euro, Japanese Yen, the Pound Sterling and Swiss Franc moving against the U.S. currency. But the dollar is still known as the World’s currency. Most currencies are quoted in dollar terms and some of the currencies of other countries are closely linked to it. This currency became the leading one at the end of WWII, but today by the global economic crisis and recession in the U.S. has ceased to be.

• The Euro: EUR

pares4 The Most Traded Forex pairsThe euro is the official currency of 16 of 27 member states of the European Union as of 2009.  The states, known collectively as the Euro zone, are Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Finland, France, Greece, Holland, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta and Portugal. The currency is also used in five other European countries, both official and non-agreed form and thus is in daily use by about 327 million Europeans. After it’s  appearance in December 1999, the Euro replaced the German mark and quickly became the second currency in the world and every day gains more acceptance. The Euro has a strong international presence, regardless of exposure to various political economic factors that may affect them.

Japanese Yen: JPY

pares5 The Most Traded Forex pairsThe yen was fixed to U.S. dollar exchange rate of 362 yen per dollar since April 25, 1949 to 1971. Then it has appreciated significantly. Currently the exchange rate is about 90 yen per dollar, or about 118 yen per euro. This is the third most used currency in the world for this kind of transaction, making the market very liquid 24 hours a day. Since much of the eastern economy moves according to Japan, the yen is quite sensitive to factors such as agricultural production in eastern and technological factors.

• The British Pound: GBP

pares6 The Most Traded Forex pairsThe pound was originally the weight value of a pound of sterling silver (hence it’s called “sterling”). This was the reference currency to the beginning of World War II, most transactions take place in London today is the largest international market in the world despite its low volume during operation in the  American sessions.

• The Swiss Franc: CHF

pares7 The Most Traded Forex pairsThe Swiss franc is legal currency  in Switzerland and Liechtenstein. Although its weight in the global economy cannot be compared to the euro or the dollar, the stability of the country they belong to makes be taken into account as a “safe haven”, particularly after the assessment as to the European currency from April to September 2000. Its value is around two thirds of a euro. This is the other major European currency that is not part of the Euro but neither is part of the G-7, but in turn is favored in terms of political uncertainty that may involve the economic community. Practically it can be said that the Swiss Franc, behaves quite similar to the Euro against the dollar.

How to know what pairs you should trade?

The best opportunities for a successful trade and earning money, are those where you trade with currency pairs are usually more used on the market and that, therefore, are those that are highly liquid.

For example, you can buy Euros with Dollars, expecting and anticipating that the Euro will increase its value against the dollar. If the euro rises against the dollar, you sell the position and can make money.

Another more specific example, when trading with the following pair: USD / EUR = 1.5 and you purchase a pair; this means that for every 1.5 Euros that you sell, you get $ 1. If instead, you sold the currency pair, you receive 1.5 Euros for every $ 1 you sell.

The four most widely used currency pairs in Forex trading are:

• U $ Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD / JPY)
• Euro / the U.S. Dollar (EUR / USD)
Pound Sterling / U.S. $ Dollar (GBP / USD)
• U $ Dollar / Swiss franc (USD / CHF).
• The U $ Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USD / CAD)
• The Australian dollar / U.S. $ Dollar (AUD / USD)

28% of global transactions relate to the Euros / dollars pair, 18% against the dollar / yen and 14% with the pair Pound / dollar.

These are pairs that are are advised to use due to high liquidity that already have the frequency of use within the market. For novice traders, it is recommended that use be limited to only one or two different pairs at the same time for best results. When being a skilled trader you can take risks and experiment with different positions opening up several pairs.

For best results into trending markets, trade the currencies of each session.  Better yet if it is during first 2-3 hours of the opening and/or closing of each session.

Finally do not forget, you can become a successful trader if you receive specialized education and constant knowledge.

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Currency News – Friday, 11 December 2009 December 20th, 2009

Economic News

USD – USD Mixed Against Major Currencies

The Dollar experienced a mixed trading day yesterday, advancing on the Yen but staying little changed against the EUR and U.K. pound. The dollar rose above 76 earlier and lately bought 75.996 and compared to 75.987 on Wednesday. The USD dropped as much as 1.3% versus the New Zealand while the Australian Dollar rose 1.1% against the greenback.

The number of people in the U.S. receiving unemployment insurance continues to decline, dropping to the lowest level since February. The US trade Deficit also declined unexpectedly as a weak Dollar boosted exports oversees.

Looking ahead for today, the US Retail Sales is expected to be released at 13:30 GMT and the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment at 14:55 GMT. With mostly better than expected economic data seen lately from the U.S., worse than expected results might prove quite volatile for the USD pairs.

EUR – EUR under Pressure over Ratings Concerns

The EUR was under pressure Thursday over concerns of high debt levels of some of its member countries. Greece had its rating downgraded and Spain had its outlook lowered to negative. Portugal was also warned of a possible downgrade. Late Thursday the EUR was unchanged at $1.4730 and at 129.94 Yen from 129.41 Yen. The Pound was at $1.6274 from $1.6270.

The currency posted little reaction to Thursday’s decision by the Bank of England to leave its key lending rate unchanged at a record low 0.5%. The Bank of England also maintained its asset-buying program at 200 billion pounds ($326 billion), in line with the economists’ forecasts.

While positive economic data continues to come from Germany, Euro-Zone’s largest economy concerns about sovereign ratings in the Euro-Zone’s smaller countries and the potential for choppy economic growth seem to be putting downward pressure on the EUR at the moment, possibly pushing it even lower against the USD.

JPY – Yen Declines as Risk Appetite Returns

As the stream of positive economic data from the U.S continues, the Yen continues to decline against the Dollar as well as riskier currencies as demand for higher-yielding assets returns. The Yen traded at 129.97 per EUR in today’s early trading, after weakening 0.4% yesterday and was at 88.43 against the Dollar. With a return to risk appetite, the JPY returns to be the primary funding currency.

OIL – Oil Prices Decline for 7th Day

Crude levels declined for a seventh straight day, ending at a two month low Thursday as concerns of oversupply and low demand persist. Light, sweet Crude Oil for January delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange settled down 13 cents at $70.54, the lowest level since Oct. 7th.

With renewed attention to supply and demand, confidence that demand in the world’s biggest energy-consuming country is recovering is deteriorating. With gasoline supplies at the highest level since April and a stronger Dollar, investors’ appetite for commodities continues to decline. With few fundamentals supporting high Oil prices, there is room for Oil level to decline further.

EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF AUD/USD EUR/GBP
Daily Trend down up up down up down
Weekly Trend up up no down no down
Resistance 1.4890 1.6525 90.10 1.0360 0.9245 0.9096
1.4825 1.6425 89.75 1.0335 0.9225 0.9075
1.4775 1.6380 89.25 1.0300 0.9190 0.9055
Support 1.4665 1.6225 88.25 1.0235 0.9115 0.9020
1.4610 1.6160 87.75 1.0195 0.9075 0.9008
1.4530 1.6075 87.40 1.0165 0.9255 0.8990

Technical News

EUR/USD

There is a fresh bullish cross forming on the daily chart’s Slow Stochastic indicating a bullish correction might take place in the nearest future. The upward direction on the hourly chart’s Momentum oscillator also supports this notion. When the upward breach occurs, going long with tight stops appears to be preferable strategy

GBP/USD

The daily chart is showing mixed signals with its RSI fluctuating at the neutral territory. However, the 1 hour Chart’s RSI is already floating in the overbought territory indicating that a bearish correction might take place in the nearest future. When the downwards breach occurs, going short with tight stops appears to be preferable strategy.

USD/JPY

The pair’s bullish momentum continues with full steam, as it crossed the 88.80 level yesterday, and seems ready to test the 89.25 level. Should a breach occur, another bullish move might take place.

USD/CHF

The typical range trading on the hourly chart continues. Both the RSI and Slow Stochastic are floating in neutral territory. The hourlies are also providing mixed signals with no specific direction. Good strategy might be to wait for a clearer signal before entering the market in this pair.

The Wild Card

Silver

Silver prices are testing new lows on a daily basis now as a breach through $17.75 was made yesterday. The daily chart shows that the price has lowered beneath the Bollinger Bands, indicating that the downtrend has more room to go. This could give forex traders a great opportunity to enter a very promising trend.

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